— The Erimtan Angle —

‘The climate change denial hoax is a well-oiled, sophisticated machine with cogs turning in every sector of our society. Corporations, front groups, wealthy philanthropists, anonymous donors, scientists, politicians and self-interested groups combine to spin a spider’s web and deceive the public. These groups have done everything in their power to pull the wool over the eyes of the general population. This is the great climate change conspiracy (14 May 2014)’.

As a “liberal hoaxer”, I would now like to quote David Chandler, from the MIT News Office, who stated in 2009 that the “most comprehensive modeling yet carried out on the likelihood of how much hotter the Earth’s climate will get in this century shows that without rapid and massive action, the problem will be about twice as severe as previously estimated six years ago [that would have been 2003] – and could be even worse than that. The study uses the MIT Integrated Global Systems Model, a detailed computer simulation of global economic activity and climate processes that has been developed and refined by the Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change since the early 1990s. The new research involved 400 runs of the model with each run using slight variations in input parameters, selected so that each run has about an equal probability of being correct based on present observations and knowledge. Other research groups have estimated the probabilities of various outcomes, based on variations in the physical response of the climate system itself. But the MIT model is the only one that interactively includes detailed treatment of possible changes in human activities as well – such as the degree of economic growth, with its associated energy use, in different countries”.[1]

Chandler continues casually that the “new projections, published this month in the American Meteorological Society’s Journal of Climate, indicate a median probability of surface warming of 5.2 degrees Celsius by 2100, with a 90% probability range of 3.5 to 7.4 degrees. This can be compared to a median projected increase in the 2003 study of just 2.4 degrees. The difference is caused by several factors rather than any single big change. Among these are improved economic modeling and newer economic data showing less chance of low emissions than had been projected in the earlier scenarios. Other changes include accounting for the past masking of underlying warming by the cooling induced by 20th century volcanoes, and for emissions of soot, which can add to the warming effect. In addition, measurements of deep ocean temperature rises, which enable estimates of how fast heat and carbon dioxide are removed from the atmosphere and transferred to the ocean depths, imply lower transfer rates than previously estimated”.[2]

The study “Probabilistic Forecast for 21st Century Climate Based on Uncertainties in Emissions (without Policy) and Climate Parameters” apparently leaves no room for doubt anymore and takes account of all the dangers posed by unchecked climate change.[3] The study presents a clear warning and of its many authors, Ronald Prinn, the co-director of the Joint Program and director of MIT’s Center for Global Change Science. declares matter-of-factly that “[t]here’s no way the world can or should take these risks”.[4]

 

 

[1] David Chandler, “Climate change odds much worse than thought” MIT News (19 May 2009). http://newsoffice.mit.edu/2009/roulette-0519.

[2] David Chandler, “Climate change odds much worse than thought”.

[3] Various Authors, “Probabilistic Forecast for 21st Century Climate Based on Uncertainties in Emissions (without Policy) and Climate Parameters” Journal of Climate (January 2009). http://globalchange.mit.edu/files/document/MITJPSPGC_Rpt169.pdf.

[4] David Chandler, “Climate change odds much worse than thought”.

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